CEDLA Lecture: The Decline of Conservative Rule in Brazil. A Reversal of Political Fortune


The 2006 elections in Brazil swept conservative political machines from what had been a decades long domination of state governments in the poor Northeastern region of the country. Most surprising still was the fact that most of these conservative machines were replaced by leftist oppositions that had never before gained the opportunity to rule these states. The presentation will explain the erosion of conservative rule in the poor Brazilian states and the rise of leftist oppositions. Compared against explanations based on economic modernization, social spending, and fiscal reform, the data best support the hypothesis that the organizational and spatial dimensions of leftist mobilization in these states have shifted to the detriment of conservative machines. Specifically, urban mobilization of leftist supporters has determined the electoral success of these oppositions. The study also explains where conservatives maintain a floor of support based on the continuation of clientele networks.

All lectures will be given in the language of the title, admission is free and there is no need to register; however you are kindly requested to be on time.

Keizersgracht 395-397
1016 EK Amsterdam
The Netherlands

Take tramline 1, 2 or 5 from the Central Station
to the Leidsestraat, and get out at tram stop
'Keizersgracht' next to the department store METZ.
Walk up the Keizersgracht past METZ
two blocks to CEDLA.